BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fayetteville St
Class: 2 Class Rank: 41 Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 111.77
Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (6-1) | District: 2-01 Record: (6-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 98.58 0 10 2 61 (10- 3) Benedict -11.54 7.18 1.54
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 105.34 24 31 2 38 ( 8- 3) UNC-Pembroke -4.79 -10.19 -2.21
3 09/13/2025 Away L 96.91 19 49 1B 54 ( 8- 4) North Carolina Centr -13.21 -7.02 -16.79
4 09/20/2025 Neutral W * * 138.61 51 8 2 105 ( 4- 6) Elizabeth City St 28.49 -0.17 14.51
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 116.73 34 14 2 89 ( 6- 4) Virginia St 6.61 -0.14 13.39
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 120.98 38 10 2 121 ( 3- 7) Bowie St 10.85 13.07 17.15
7 10/11/2025 Home W * * 112.92 38 14 2 117 ( 5- 5) Livingstone 2.79 26.79 21.21
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 95.28 31 13 2 145 ( 2- 8) Shaw -14.84 * 27.42 32.84
9 11/01/2025 Home L * * 109.23 14 17 2 42 (10- 2) Johnson C. Smith -0.89 2.25 -2.11
10 11/08/2025 Home W * * 106.65 31 21 2 90 ( 4- 6) Winston-Salem St -3.47 17.05 13.47
Averages 110.12 28.0 18.7
Best game: 138.61 = 43 point win over Elizabeth City St
Worst game: 95.28 = 18 point win over Shaw
Team stdev: 13.10