BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Fayetteville St
Class: 2 Class Rank: 42 Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 110.86
Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (6-1) | District: 2-01 Record: (6-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 97.69 0 10 2 61 (10- 3) Benedict -11.52 7.18 1.52
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 104.43 24 31 2 39 ( 8- 3) UNC-Pembroke -4.77 -10.19 -2.23
3 09/13/2025 Away L 96.36 19 49 1B 53 ( 8- 4) North Carolina Centr -12.85 -7.02 -17.15
4 09/20/2025 Neutral W * * 137.70 51 8 2 105 ( 4- 6) Elizabeth City St 28.49 -0.17 14.51
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 115.78 34 14 2 92 ( 6- 4) Virginia St 6.57 -0.14 13.43
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 119.96 38 10 2 122 ( 3- 7) Bowie St 10.76 13.06 17.24
7 10/11/2025 Home W * * 111.95 38 14 2 117 ( 5- 5) Livingstone 2.74 26.79 21.26
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 94.31 31 13 2 146 ( 2- 8) Shaw -14.89 * 27.42 32.89
9 11/01/2025 Home L * * 108.21 14 17 2 44 (10- 2) Johnson C. Smith -1.00 2.27 -2.00
10 11/08/2025 Home W * * 105.66 31 21 2 94 ( 4- 6) Winston-Salem St -3.54 17.07 13.54
Averages 109.20 28.0 18.7
Best game: 137.70 = 43 point win over Elizabeth City St
Worst game: 94.31 = 18 point win over Shaw
Team stdev: 13.06